OTB's ACC Power Poll–Week 8

Posted by Brandon Rink on February 26, 2010 under ACC Basketball | Comments are off for this article

Yellow jersey power!

Yellow jersey power!

Welcome to OTB’s ACC Power Poll! My ACC basketball power ranking here is less text, but packed with info you need for the coming week in ACC basketball as I have NCAA Tourney projections, all the records, who’s on a roll, and my picks for the big games of the week…enjoy!

(Records as of February 26, 2010; Key game(s) and ACC game 2 Watch on a Friday to Friday week; Remember: NCAA projections based on projected W/Ls up to end of regular season; Bold denotes positive change from last week in tourney seed, Italics denotes negative change from last week in tourney seed)
Rank..(LW)….Team………………………Record
1)..(1)..Duke Blue Devils…………………………24-4(11-2 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Buying–a 1 seed. Momentum level: High;
Key game(s) this week: @UVA, @MD.

2)..(3)..Maryland Terrapins……………………20-7(10-3 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Buying–a 5 seed. Momentum level: High;
Key game(s) this week: @VT, Duke.

3)..(5)..Florida State Seminoles………….20-7(8-5 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Buying a–6 seed. Momentum level: High;
Key game(s) this week: Clemson, Wake Forest.

4)..(2)..Virginia Tech Hokies…………………..21-6(8-5 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Buying a–9 Seed. Momentum level: Low;
Key game(s) this week: MD, NC State

5)..(4)..Wake Forest Demon Deacons…18-7(8-5 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report:Buying a–8 seed. Momentum level: Low;
Key game(s) this week: UNC, @FSU.

6).(6).Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets…………………17-9(6-7 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report:Buying a–10 seed. Momentum level: Lukewarm;
Key game(s) this week: BC, @Clemson.

7)..(7)..Clemson Tigers………………19-8(7-6 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Buying a–11 seed. Momentum level: Lukewarm;
Key game(s) this week: @FSU, GT.

8)..(8)..Virginia Cavaliers…………14-12(5-7 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Selling an–CBI Bid. Momentum level: Low;
Key game(s) this week: Duke, @BC.

9)..(9)..Boston College Eagles………………….14-13(5-8 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Selling–CBI Bid. Momentum level: High;
Key game(s) this week: @GT, UVA.

10)..(10)..Miami Hurricanes………………………18-9(4-9 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Selling–no posteason. Momentum level: Medium;
Key game(s) this week: NC State, @UNC.

11)..(12)..North Carolina State Wolfpack………….14-13(3-10 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Selling a–no postseason. Momentum level: Medium;
Key game(s) this week: @Miami, @VT.

12)..(11)..North Carolina Tar Heels………………………14-14(3-10 ACC)
OTB’s March Madness Stock Report: Selling a–CBI bid. Momentum level: Low;
Key game(s) this week: @Wake, Miami.

Where do the Terps finish in 2010?

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ACC Game(s) 2 Watch This Week(14-4 record so far):

(2) Maryland Terrapins at (4) Virginia Tech Hokies, Saturday at 4:00.
OTB’s Prediction: Hokies 73 Terps 68
The Why: Hokies just aren’t playing well, but they return to the confines of Cassell where they are undefeated–and with improved play, it stays that way. Maryland has notched road wins at FSU, BC, and NC State already so if any team is going to break the streak–it’s the Terps, but the Hokies are playing for their tournament survival and need it more.

(6) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at (7) Clemson Tigers, Tuesday at 8.
OTB’s Prediction: Tigers 69 Jackets 65
The Why: If Georgia Tech falls to BC inexplicably on Saturday, this very well could be a NCAA bubble elimination game as they both need 8-8 at least with an ACC Tournament win for security. This game is a rematch of a battle that took place in Atlanta with the Jackets prevailing–it’s senior night in Clemson for Trevor Booker and Demontez Stitt so the Tigers and the crowd will be on for the Clemson win.

(1) Duke Blue Devils at (2) Maryland Terrapins, Wednesday at 9(Raycom).
OTB’s Prediction: Terps 66 Devils 62
The Why: The Terps make a second double-entry into the G2W–that time I took them to lose on the road at Duke, but win at FSU. They split this time too as while the Blue Devils have developed down-low(especially with Zoubek)–but the Terps did not display their offensive firepower in Cameron and will be on for this one. This is the marquee game they need to get a better seed and most likely meet the Blue Devils again in the ACC Championship game.

Only a week and a half of ACC regular season games to go! Who comes out looking good into the ACC Tourney? Who falls to the bubble or off from it? Your thoughts are more than welcome…

OTB Live: Clemson/Maryland Live Blog

Posted by Brandon Rink on February 24, 2010 under ACC Basketball | Comments are off for this article

Check out our live blogging at CoverItLive of tonight’s Clemson/Maryland game on your local Raycom affiliate/ESPN360.

Click here for OTB Live

Also a good site for live stats here.

ACC Tournament Projections–Edition Four

Posted by Brandon Rink on February 23, 2010 under Other ACC Coverage | 5 Comments to Read

This year’s ACC Tournament could be as vital as it has been in recent history to NCAA Tourney bids…here’s how I project the seeds right now. For the next couple weeks, I’ll have the post-weekend edition on OTB and over at Raycom after the mid-week games.

I’ve been crunching numbers, breaking down schedules, looking at tiebreakers, and flipping coins. Here’s how I project the ACC season to finish…

Team ACC Record ACC Seed Proj. Tiebreak
Duke 13-3

1

Virginia Tech 11-5

2

Maryland 10-6

3

2-1
Wake Forest 10-6

4

1-1
Florida State 10-6

5

1-2
Clemson 9-7

6

Georgia Tech 8-8

7

Virginia 7-9

8

Boston College 5-11

9

2-0
Miami 5-11

10

0-2
North Carolina 4-12

11

NC State 3-13

12

———————-

Projected Matchups

1) Duke vs. 8] Virginia/9) Boston College

2) Virginia Tech vs. 7) Georgia Tech/10) Miami

3) Maryland vs. 6) Clemson/11) North Carolina

4) Wake Forest vs. 5) Florida State/12) NC State

Projection Quirks/Commentary

> The big changes from the last projections is moving Wake Forest and Maryland back to 10-6 from 11-5–and Clemson moving to 9-7 from 8-8. FSU, even with the tiebreaker, is shut out of the top 4 seeds.

> On the tiebreakers, I was going off from the ACC official site page on them. Which say…

> On the 3 team tiebreaker, all of the head-to-head records between the 3 teams are combined for each school to get the best winning percentage. Slots 3-5 are affected here with Maryland at 2-1, Wake with a 1-1 record, and Florida State on the losing end at 1-2.

> In the other tiebreaker scenario, BC swept the Canes to get the 9th seed over Miami.

> Duke keeps the same dancing partners with FSU and NC State. I’m still not a fan of the Devils winning the tourney with their draw–though Wake Forest is struggling along with Virginia. The potential quarterfinal matchups to watch are Virginia Tech/Clemson and Maryland/Georgia Tech–revenge will be on the minds of the Tigers and Jackets. The tourney winner really could be a coin flip as its hard to put confidence in any team right now.

> Thanks to a viewers kind email, I realized I had the bracket all messed up…spent a bit too much time on the tiebreakers and did some wrong assumptions on the bracket. Duke’s path to the semis gets a bit easier without the FSU/NC State matchup out of the gates. Georgia Tech will be a desperate quarterfinals for Virginia Tech which will be tough. Clemson and Maryland meet for a 3rd time this season in what should be a good one. There’s a good chance we see a Hokies/Devils rematch in the ACC finals from these projections.

Looking to tweak this after each series of games—your input is encouraged. What team will perform better than projected? Who will be worse? Who do you like in the matchups to win the ACC Tourney right now?