ACC Pick’Em Post – 10/02

Posted by Brandon Rink on September 30, 2010 under ACC Football | Comments are off for this article

The spotlight is on the cross-divisional games with 5 Atlantic-Coastal matchups including big games in Clemson and Raliegh…

ACC Pick’Em (29-6 to date)

• 10/02/10 –  Miami Hurricanes @ Clemson Tigers / ESPN2 / 12:00 p.m. ET

The Lead: Will it go to OT, double OT, or triple OT? Tune in as this series has been great – can Harris get over his turnover woes? Is Parker healthy enough to lead the Tigers up and down the field? Going to be a fun one.

Watch 4: Extra prep to give Clemson edge on O – Harris to have decent day, but not enough

Clemson looked really good on offense in a hostile atmosphere at Auburn – Miami’s D is better, but I like the Tigers’ chances to put up points. Gotta think Miami gets to Harris about the long throws-to-picks–short, conservative throws should be the order of the day and he’ll have decent success…just not enough.

The Pick: Tigers 31 Canes 27

• Florida State Seminoles  @ Virginia Cavaliers / ACC Network / 12:00 p.m. ET

The Lead: Hey, it’s everybody in the home team crowd dresses the same day in Charlottesville – a “white-out”, but will FSU continue the blackout on scoring? Virginia going for the first points an ACC team has put up on the ‘Noles in ‘10.

Watch 4: FSU to win, Virginia to not make it easy

Hard to get a read on this one – FSU has the better team, but their last road game was a disaster and the ‘Hoos are looking solid compared to what we all thought preseason.

The Pick: ‘Noles 31 ‘Hoos 16

• Virginia Tech Hokies @ NC State Wolfpack / ABC-ESPN2-ESPN3 / 3:30 p.m. ET

The Lead: It’s the preseason favorite (Hokies) vs. the after-a-month-favorite (Wolfpack) in Raliegh Saturday.

Watch 4: Wolfpack to continue offensive output – hold off Hokies for win

Hokies are favored much like they were at BC, but the 19-0 win wasn’t as impressive as it looks and Russell Wilson isn’t Dave Shinskie. Wolfpack D brings decent effort and the offense continues to do what they do for a win.

The Pick: Pack 28 Hokies 24

• East Carolina Pirates @ North Carolina Tar Heels / ESPN3 / 3:30  p.m. ET

The Lead: The Heels go for win no. 2 against a feisty Pirates team that just chucks the ball all around the yard.

Watch 4: Distractions to play a factor – UNC still to pull it together

The UNC line is going down by the minute (started at 17 down to 13)…just a tough situation as UNC is the better team, but the Pirates are dangerous and can take advantage of the distractions.

The Pick: Heels 20 Pirates 17

• Duke Blue Devils @ Maryland Terrapins / ESPN3 / 6:00 p.m. ET

The Lead: The Terps are trying to keep rolling – Devils are just looking to stop the bleeding and maybe even win?

Watch 4: Terps running game to be too much

Part of me thinks Duke pulls it together for a competitive effort here, but the other part has watched them play D – Maryland gets to the 4 win mark with another strong ground game in a win.

The Pick: Terps 37 Devils 17

• Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest / ESPNU / 7:00 p.m. ET

The Lead: Both sides are reeling a bit coming into this one, but they also have ACC wins under their belt – see who gets their second (and who’s almost hopelessly out of the conference race with a loss) on the U.

Watch 4: Jackets to steamroll Wake D – Deacs to offer little resistance

Georgia Tech’s biggest enemy on O this season seems to be teams that can score on its D – Wake won’t have as much success there and the Johnson will get them on the scoreboard early and often.

The Pick: Jackets 38 Deacs 16

• Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Boston College / ABC / 8:00 p.m. ET

The Lead: The Fighting Irish come to town against an Eagles team just looking for anybody that can complement Montel Harris on offense.

Watch 4: Montel Harris to go off – BC to edge out the Irish

Can whoever at QB for BC successfully hand off? That may be all they need against a struggling Irish D. ND might be able to move the ball with the passing game Saturday, but BC can’t get worse on O and there will be holes to run through against the Irish.

The Pick: Eagles 24 Irish 20

ATS Section (15-10-1 to date)

• NC State and under 4 vs. Virginia Tech

Take to Bank %: 55%

Ok, I get it – Vegas had it right last week at Chestnut Hill, but they’re pressing their luck against the new-look Wolfpack.

• ECU and under 13 at UNC

Take to Bank %: 55%

Situation just keeps getting worse in Chapel Hill – hard to pick a big spread in their favor.

• Maryland and over 7.5 vs. Duke

Take to Bank %: 25%

Like I said above, have a feeling that this could be closer, but betting on Duke’s D is something I won’t do this week.

• Georgia Tech and over 9.5 at Wake Forest

Take to Bank %: 65%

They had a rough week last week, but expect the spread option to get in gear against a spotty Deacs’ D.

• Notre Dame and over 2.5 vs. BC

Take to Bank %: 1%

And here’s where you see the split from my feel picks above – and what I’d do with the fictional ACC Blogger money, give me another week to look at the BC offense before taking them.

• FSU and over 7 at Virginia

Take to Bank %: 60%

In the one ATS game this season, we took Southern Cal and the ‘Hoos beat the spread by a mile – will FSU play out the same? I think it’s close for a while, but the ‘Noles get it to double digits late.

• Clemson and over 3 vs. Miami

Take to Bank %: 30%

If you’re into trends, you should take Miami as the home team hasn’t won in this series in forever, but I like Clemson’s O out of the bye vs. the Miami D…and the Tigers have a number of guys in the secondary licking their chops at Jacory Harris throws.

Who ya got this weekend? Pick’em in the comments. We’re going to look at the ACC after a month of football tomorrow so be sure to come back!