East: (3) Florida State vs. (6) Cincinnati, 9:40 (ET) Sun., CBS, Nashville, TN
Coaches Tourney Records: Florida State – Leonard Hamilton 6-6 (2-1 in the second round); Cincinnati – Mick Cronin 2-3 (0-1 in the second round).
FSU Has to Stop: F Yancy Gates (Senior, 6-9 260, 12.4 PPG/9.2 RPG) – Gates is a beast in the paint who can take a game over, and the Bearcats can struggle when he’s not scoring – both of their losses in a 11-game stretch where they’ve gone 9-2 have come when Gates was limited to single-digit scoring (46-45 to USF and 50-44 to Louisville).
Stat to Watch: 3-point shooting – In what should be a defensive battle, FSU’s ability to knock down the trey could be the difference. The Bearcats have three players with triple-digit attempts from the perimeter, guards Sean Kilpatrick and Cashmere Wright with respectable 36.8 and 36.9 shooting percentages respectively. FSU’s primary perimeter shooters Deividas Dulkys and Michael Snaer are more accurate – Dulkys at 37.5 (48-of-128) and Snaer 40.8 (64-of-157). The ‘Noles hit 7 3-pointers in the win over St. Bonaventure, while Cincinnati struggled against Texas (3-of-16).
What I’m Thinking: Let’s get the obvious out of the way – Leonard Hamilton’s Seminoles can’t get another bagel in the box score from Snaer. He has to hit 3s and attack the hoop for layups and free throws Sunday night. Bernard James stepped up in round one with 19 points and 9 rebounds, but his fellow forwards will have their share of issues with Cincinnati’s Gates Sunday night. These teams are both coming hot (8-2 in their last 10) and play a grinding style of defense. Looking over the numbers, the Bearcats remind of Clemson defensively, as they hold opponents to a low-point total, but don’t necessarily keep them to a low shooting-percentage. If Snaer is on, FSU should be able to outscore Cincinnati, but this is a very evenly matched game.
Pick: Florida State 65-62
2012 ACC Tourney: 'Noles or Bearcats move on?
- FSU (100%, 3 Votes)
- Cincinnati (0%, 0 Votes)
Total Voters: 3
More ACC in NCAA Tourney Breakdowns