ACC Football Pick’Em – 11/24

Posted by Brandon Rink on November 22, 2012 under ACC Football | Comments are off for this article

Jimbo Fisher hopes to send E.J. Manuel and the other FSU seniors out with third-straight big win over Florida (Pic per picks week 13 in the ACC…

  • 11/24/12 – Georgia Tech (6-5) @ No. 3 Georgia (10-1) [-14] / Noon ET / ESPN

The Lead: The ACC Coastal champs meet the SEC East champs between the hedges – Tech going for its first win in the series since Paul Johnson’s first year on the Flats (2008).

Watch 4: Tech to keep it closer than expected, run out of gas in the end

Georgia has been susceptible to the run, and Georgia Tech has hit another gear in a three-game winning streak that’s keyed a run to the top of the Coastal, averaging 480 yards and 48 points per game. But if there’s one thing Georgia’s done of late, besides losing to South Carolina and avoiding tough SEC West teams until Atlanta, it’s beat Georgia Tech. Georgia quarterback Aaron Murray threw four touchdowns last year, and leads the nation in pass efficiency, with a 4-to-1 TD-INT ratio (28-7).

The Picks: Brandon Rink – UGa 41-28; Griffin Wong – UGa 27-13; J.J. Greenstein – UGa 42-21; W. Gustin Vandiford – TBA; Billy Watson – UGa 28-10;

  • Virginia (4-7, 2-5) @ Virginia Tech (5-6, 3-4) [-10] / Noon ET / ESPNU

The Lead: Virginia Tech aims for No. 9 in a row in the series, to punch their ticket to postseason play.

Watch 4: Virginia Tech to make more plays

As the saying goes, when you have two quarterbacks – you have none, and that’s the situation Virginia seems to be in, with junior Michael Rocco and sophomore Phillip Sims. Rocco completed 69 percent of his passes for 155 yards last week in the 37-13 loss to UNC, but with a crucial pick-six in the mix, while Sims only hit 47 percent of pass attempts for 50 yards and a touchdown. Ultimately, Virginia Tech is the less bad team between the two, and they should pull out a kinda-ugly game.

The Picks: Rink – VT 24-16; Wong – VT 24-14; Greenstein – VT 35-28; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – VT 24-17;

  • Miami (6-5, 4-3) [-6.5] @ Duke (6-5, 3-4) / 12:30 p.m. ET / ACC Network

The Lead: Well, the ‘Canes/Duke divisional title game never came to fruition, and instead, neither have a Coastal shot.

Watch 4: More consistent Miami offense to edge out Devils

Motivation. For Duke and Miami, it’s about finishing strong, but only the Blue Devils have something to look forward to past Saturday on the gridiron, due to the back-to-back self-imposed bowl bans in Coral Gables. Miami hasn’t lost to Duke since 1976, and rolled them 49-14 last season. The ‘Canes folded in this situation in 2011, post bowl-ban, losing to BC 24-17 as a 13-point favorite in Al Golden’s first season. The issue for the Blue Devils is an offense that hasn’t been the same since the UNC win, averaging 283 yards and 17 points per in three losses. Miami’s been a little more consistent offensively and get the edge here for a third ACC road win of the season.

The Picks: Rink – Miami 38-31; Wong – Duke 21-17; Greenstein – Miami 28-21; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – Miami 31-14;

  • Maryland (4-7, 2-5) @ UNC (7-4, 4-3) [-24.5] / 3:00 p.m. ET / RSN

The Lead: Part of the Big 10 agreement was increased funding into why the football-injury gods hate Maryland (I really have nothing for intriguing you to watch this game).

Watch 4: UNC to mercifully put the last nail in Terps’ season

Maryland offense since its fourth starting QB went down: 203 offensive yards per game and less in each of the three (259-180-170), scoring 12 points per. The season’s almost over, and you got that B1G money now, Terps.

The Picks: Rink – UNC 41-16; Wong – UNC 28-10; Greenstein – UNC 38-17; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – UNC 35-7;

  • Boston College (2-9, 1-6) @ NC State (6-5, 3-4) [-14.5]  / 3:30 p.m. ET / ESPN3

The Lead: The Frank Spaziani era (most likely) ends on ESPN3, in a game most definitely fit for ESPN3.

Watch 4: State to ride Glennon’s arm to comfortable win on Senior Day

597 yards and 48 points weren’t enough against Clemson last week. Likely, about half that would do the trick this week against BC – staring down its first double-digit loss season since 1978. On the road, the Eagles are averaging 16.4 points/327.6 YPG. Oddly enough, BC is pushing for its sixth win in eight games against State, after grinding out a 14-10 victory in Chestnut Hill last season (lost 44-17 the last time in Raliegh). But it’s hard to imagine Senior Day for Mike Glennon going that route, especially after a third 400-yard passing game of 2012 a week ago.

The Picks: Rink – NCSU 38-17; Wong – NCSU 27-16; Greenstein – NCSU 28-17; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – NCSU 24-10;

  • No. 6 Florida (10-1) @ No. 10 Florida State (10-1) [-8] / 3:30 p.m. ET / ABC

The Lead: The first of two top-10 ACC-SEC showdowns on the day (by one ranking or another), as the ‘Noles try to defend the home turf on the road to Charlotte.

Watch 4: ‘Noles D to stifle Gators’ O, pull away in second half

Jimbo Fisher hasn’t lost to Florida as head coach in Tallahassee, and not only that – beat them by 19 points per. His Seminoles have graced top spot in total defense over their last three games (236.3 YPG), and rank 7th in scoring offense (42.9 PPG). The Gators have the defense (No. 4 – 281 YPG), but the offense is another story (No. 104 – 332.9 YPG). Florida squeaked by a top defense in LSU (237 yards) and another top-15 D in South Carolina with only 183 yards – plus-5 in turnover margin between the two wins. FSU has been dominant at home, rolling by a 54-9 average in seven games and 50-13 just against FBS opponents. Florida has by far the best defense FSU has played, but I’m not sure the Gators can score, much, at all.

The Picks: Rink – FSU 27-17; Wong – Florida 27-23; Greenstein – FSU 17-13; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – FSU 27-14;

  • Vanderbilt (7-4) [-11.5] @ Wake Forest (5-6) / 3:30 p.m. ET / ESPNU

The Lead: Reversing roles from last season’s finale, the Deacs need the win to go bowling against the hot Commodores.

Watch 4: Deacs to hold Vandy for three quarters, not get enough scores

For whatever reason, Wake Forest struggles to finish the season, losing 13 of 19 home season-enders (per Phil Steele) and three-straight by 22 points per. And the home team in this particular series 2-8 (again, per Phil Steele). It doesn’t help the Deacs have posted less than 250 yards and 20 points in four of their last six games, while giving up 26.7 points per at 2-4 down the stretch aiming for back-to-back bowl bids. Meanwhile, this ain’t your daddy’s Vandy – winners of six of their last seven games by a 30-16 average final. Wake Forest lost, as a 1-point underdog to the ‘Dores last year, by 34 points – you’d have to think it’ll be closer this time around.

The Picks: Rink – Vandy 27-20; Wong – Vandy 20-7; Greenstein – Vandy 32-7; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – Vandy 24-7;

  • No. 13 South Carolina (9-2) @ No. 12 Clemson (10-1) [-4]  / 7:15 p.m. ET / ESPN

The Lead: Clemson and South Carolina meet as top-15 teams for only the second time in the storied rivalry, both in the hunt for a BCS at-large bid.

Watch 4: Tigers’ offense to break rivalry run

South Carolina has won by 20 points per in the last three, and split the last 10 games in Death Valley. Clemson is riding a 14-game home winning streak – their last home loss? The Gamecocks – 2010: 29-7, where Tajh Boyd saw his first major playing time after a Kyle Parker pick-six to open the second half. Speaking of Boyd, he ranks second nationally in pass efficiency, with a 68 completion percentage on 9.5 yards per pass, scoring 3.7 touchdowns per game. Check out stats on the game in my piece here on Chad Morris’ offense comes up big again to grab Clemson’s first real top-25 win of the season (beat preseason No. 25 Auburn to open the season…doesn’t really count) and state their case for a BCS at-large.

The Picks: Rink – Clemson 34-28; Wong – USC 34-28; Greenstein – Clemson 42-39; Vandiford – TBA; Watson – Clemson 42-31;

Season Pick Records: Rink – 70-18 (39-32-3 ATS, FBS v. FBS games); Wong – 67-18; Greenstein – 62-26; Vandiford – 56-28; Watson 26-14.