Posted by Brandon Rink on August 29, 2011 under ACC Football | Comments are off for this article
The ACC roundtable is back, just in time for game week one.
Hitting the top questions facing the ACC preseason – BC Interruption is hosting the ACC Roundtable this week and will have a wrap from all the bloggers involved on Thursday/Friday. My answers…
1. Most ACC programs are hitting the snooze button for the first two weeks of the season before hosting four preseason top 25 programs in week 3 — #1 Oklahoma, #18 Ohio State, #23 Auburn and #24 West Virginia. How’s week 3 in the ACC go down? Can the conference win a majority of those four high-profile games on Sept. 17?
Can’t we just focus on not losing to App. State or Troy or William & Mary first? No? Ok, well, winning the majority looks less likely with Miami’s recent turn of fortune. Preseason, I projected wins for Miami, Clemson and West Virginia in those games – now, I’m leaning more to a split, but FSU could come up big and take out Oklahoma too. It’s not a question of is the ACC able to pull off the majority of those games – it’s “Will they?” And I’m going with a split.
2. What’s the one game on the schedule that your respective fan bases have circled on this year’s sched? (Conference-wide bloggers — what are the handful of can’t miss games on the regular season sched?).
FSU-Oklahoma – HUGE game for the conference, but every out of conference game, from Auburn to Western Carolina, is big for an ACC that just hasn’t performed OOC. An FSU win against a likely No. 1 Sooners team will do wonders for the ACC’s standing in the conference landscape, but another James Madison or Richmond will just cut it back down.
3. Name one ACC program that’s not Florida State or Virginia Tech that has a legitimate shot at winning this year’s ACC football title. Your ACC’s football champion dark horse is:
It’s tough to narrow down just one out of a pretty unspectacular crew past the top two, but I’ll stick with UNC, a team I projected to win 10 games before they toppled the Butch Davis regime. They still have to go to Virginia Tech on a Thursday, but like ’09 when they won at Lane Stadium, the Heels take the trip to Blacksburg after the Hokies play Georgia Tech.
4. It’s been an offseason to forget with major NCAA infractions / investigations into the North Carolina, Georgia Tech and Miami programs. Can the conference as a whole move forward from this whole mess? How do you expect this all to shake out?
Yes…until the next scandal. We’re all at the mercy of Yahoo! and the NCAA at this point.
Georgia Tech will be fine – they need to be more worried about finding the next Josh Nesbitt and Demaryius Thomas.
UNC has their punishment coming down midseason, and where that program goes is partly from the ruling and also if the higher-ups in Chapel Hill keep Tar Heels’ football on the frontburner. The timing of the Butch Davis firing doesn’t exactly have me optimistic for the future of North Carolina football.
Miami, oh Miami, we have a lot sorting out to do before we know what exactly happens there. Doesn’t look good though.
5. You can also add conference realignment rumors to the 2011 offseason to forget. With A&M set to divorce the Big 12 and move to the SEC, rumors swirl about a 14th program coming from the ACC. Now’s the time to pledge your allegiance to John Swofford and the ACC. Or don’t. Either way, tell us what you think the endgame is for the next round of conference musical chairs.
I’m leaning towards less movement than more, and quite likely that the current ACC holds. Something has changed – it appears the conference commissioners are doing some backroom dealin’ to keep each other alive.
Texas A&M is headed to the SEC, which means somebody has to fill that 14th slot. If the SEC is staying out of current markets (i.e. SC, FL & GA), Virginia Tech makes a lot of sense, but it’s not as easy as with Texas A&M. The Hokies are happy in the ACC – they win – they dominate in football. They fit well in the conference. If the SEC does wish to pluck Virginia Tech, they’ll have to go full-court press, a far different strategy than with Texas A&M so far.
Their best bet is just moving the conference West with another Big XII team and moving the Bama schools to the SEC East.
6. Last one, and recycled from last year. a) What do you expect out of your team, b) What kind of season would keep you content and happy, c) What kind of season would be a disappointment?
This could be a special season for the ACC. If Virginia Tech and FSU are as good as advertised, the conference could get two BCS bowl bids for the first time. What I expect and what I’d be content and happy with are the same – an improved out of conference record and a BCS bowl win. Anything less is a disappointment.
Virginia Tech might be in the unique spot of the only ACC team that the SEC would take because of the reported "gentlemen's agreement" - do they go? (Pic per OrangeandWhite.com)
Editor’s note: I asked Matthew from @hokieguru on Twitter what he would do if he ran the Hokies and Virginia Tech was the only ACC team that could really leave the conference – the 140 character limit wasn’t quite enough to explain his thinking so he’s here for a guest post…
So there you have it… Virginia Tech should go to the SEC… it’s as easy as that… no it’s not… lots of positives and negatives about a potential move to the SEC… and that’s the focus of this blog post… what should we do? Well, let’s talk about it…
A change in Virginia Tech’s conference affiliation would most likely increase its athletic revenue (SEC television negotiations would work in the Hokies’ favor and alumni donations would most likely increase).
Virginia Tech football recruiting would improve to a certain degree. The Hokies would never lose another player to any of the North Carolina schools, and more specifically, would not lose another player in Virginia’s famous 757. We might be more of a national player here.
Right now, Virginia Tech is a pretty big fish in a small pond in ACC football (four ACC titles in seven years). Additionally, with our fellow Coastal Division teams having troubles with the NCAA, the Hokies figure to be the odds on favorite for the next 3-4 years to be in the ACC title game. Matt Zemek of @MattZemek_CFN has said that we are the one team that qualifies as a star right now in the ACC. Is it worth it to make the move to the SEC with the knowledge that it would be really difficult replicating that success?
Save Kentucky, SEC men’s basketball is not good. While Virginia Tech has not made the NCAA tournament in four years, we’ve made a lot of progress. The ACC never considered us to be a basketball school, but we do have the third most wins in conference play since our inclusion in the league. SEC men’s basketball might be the worst of the BCS conferences and our men’s hoops recruiting could weaken.
How far would that additional SEC revenue go? The SEC is an airplane league. The ACC is a bus league. Virginia Tech would have to fly most of its athletes from its non-revenue sports to SEC locations and that could be quite expensive.
Most of the schools in the ACC are a short travel distance from Virginia Tech. We’ve established really good relationships with our fellow ACC schools. I think it’s harder to do that with the SEC schools that are farther away.
The academics (why most of us go to school) in the ACC are vastly superior to those in the SEC. The majority of student athletes do not turn pro (yes, you’ve heard this before, but it’s true). For example, three ACC business schools are in the U.S. News and World Report Top 20 list (and seven in the top 50). How many from the SEC in the top 20? Zero (and two in the top 50… and one, Vanderbilt, is a private school). I am proud of being an alumnus of a conference that values academics. Our academic partnerships with our fellow ACC schools are second to none.
The bigger question is: What is John Swofford doing to ensure the ACC’s future viability? I’d have to say next to nothing. I don’t see that he has the conference future in mind.
The issue of conference expansion is a tough issue to wrestle with for us Hokies. I think in our heart of hearts, we don’t want the ACC to disband. However, we also don’t want to be on the outside looking in… and if we go the SEC, I will support the move 100 percent (even though I don’t want us to go there… there, I said it).
Call me crazy, but after what I saw last year, ESPN stepping in and holding off the PAC-12 super conference…the SEC standing pat…the Big XII becoming Texas and everybody else (the reason why Texas A&M is unhappy) – I don’t think anybody’s leaving.
Where does this leave the ACC? Who. Knows. Now, we wait.
And while we wait for the ACC’s eventual doom – or the Big East’s – or whatever conference takes the fall when the all-encompassing day of the superconference is ushered in – I’m going to talk football (novel concept, I know).
Five games I can’t wait to watch this season
5) Florida State at Florida, November 26
Why?: FSU got a little catharsis from a series that hadn’t gone its way in awhile with a 31-7 beatdown of the Gators last season. Florida is picked towards the middle of the pack by the SEC media, but what intrigues me here is the change in venues to the Swamp. The last two trips haven’t been too kind to the ‘Noles with 45-12 and 37-10 losses respectively. I’m picking FSU, but I wonder if they can win with the style points of 2010.
4) Ohio State at Miami, September 17
Why?: I don’t know what to think about this game. Ohio State will still have suspended players, and are coming off such a gauntlet as Akron and Toledo before their first road trip with a new head coach. Of course, we don’t really know what we’ll see from Miami either, but they have a bye the week before this one after the Labor Day game at Maryland. It might be ugly, but really, it’s a must-win for conference prominence in these dark, rumor-filled times of the realignment era.
3) North Carolina at NC State, November 5
Why?: Past the clear-cut divisional favorites, the Heels and Pack are the best of the rest in my projections. It’s a series that Tom O’Brien has owned – winning all four matchups with three close ones and the 41-10 blowout in Chapel Hill in 2008. New coach – new era for this series for UNC? Who knows, but it should go down to the wire.
2) Florida State at Clemson, September 24
Why?: If the ‘Noles are going to be opposed in the Atlantic, this is a must-win – not only for Clemson, but also for rest of the division. Look up and down that FSU schedule – there aren’t many pitfalls for them in conference. The Seminoles haven’t won in Death Valley since 2001 – seems crazy but it’s true. Both will be coming off big out-of-conference games with the next in our countdown for the ‘Noles and Auburn coming to the school with a lake. Clemson getting Andre Ellington going will be key to pulling off an upset here.
1) Oklahoma at Florida State, September 17
Why?: I’ll be at the aforementioned Clemson-Auburn game at noon that day, which will be a good one, but this primetime game is the marquee matchup of the OOC season. With only Tulsa and a bye in their path to Tallahassee, Oklahoma will come in ranked No. 1 overall against another top-5 school in FSU. The Sooners manhandled the ‘Noles last season in Norman, winning 47-17. But Oklahoma’s last two trips to Sunshine State haven’t been kind – losing twice in Miami, 21-20 to the Hurricanes – and 24-14 to the Gators in the BCS National Championship Game in 2009. This is a bellwether game for FSU’s season – are the ‘Noles on track for a trip to the biggest bowl game of all? Winning here will boost the ‘Noles hype (and BCS rating) through the roof going into their ACC opener at Clemson the next week.
Thoughts on the expansion fiasco? Any games to add to the list?